the Farmers’ Almanac is predicting the “return of the BRRR.”
Frigid temperatures are expected for much of Alberta, Saskatchewan, Manitoba, and westernmost Ontario.
Newfoundland and Labrador will experience icy temperatures but won’t be nearly as cold as the middle of the country.
British Columbia will luckily dodge this frosty forecast
What’s going on Canada?
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Just a friendly FYI that the Almanacs have essentially no skill in seasonal forecasting and rely on vagaries and generalities to try and convince readers that the wide net the cast to try and capture chance is actually skill.
Even physical sciences based forecasts can struggle to hit 50-60% skill on seasonal forecasts. Even in the highlights posted here:
This “forecast” literally just describes essentially every winter in Canada. The fact this pseudoscience that is demonstrably unskilled gets so much visibility each year.
To further this point, here you can find the Env Canada long range probabilistic forecasts which are actually based on science and observations :q
https://weather.gc.ca/saisons/image_e.html?img=s456pfe1t_cal&bc=prob
More likely above average
I’m fine with that. Cold winters are supposed to be normal out here anyway.
It’ll help slow the encroachment of invasive plant and animal species from other parts of the continent.
The problem is if it is too cold for too long, things break. When I’ve experienced long durations of extremely cold weather, things get bad.
Ice accumulates inside, vents freeze over, cars don’t start, etc. It’s not good.
But it is our former normal … and I’ll be happier to see that again.
Depends what we’re getting. A nice, median, general cold would be good. But an average cold that includes several -40 storms isn’t great, and is probably what we’ll get.
The only reason it wouldn’t be great is that unhoused people will die because the collective “we” don’t give a shit about them.
Other than that I don’t see an issue.
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Do people still take the Farmer’s Almanac seriously? These weather predictions are based on things like sunspots and observations on the bushiness of squirrel tails. In a word, it’s pseudoscience, and it is accurate in the same way as astrology.
I’ve heard they use modern methods these days.
Lemme guess, from an astrological farmer?
I’ve started listening to Ryan Hall on youtube, and unlike these guys, his prediction is that the prairies are going to be pretty warm due to the El Nino this year, and instead the cold burst is going to be further east in Ontario and Quebec.
Though he’s American centric, so you can only inference results from his predictive maps, but he does say that there’s a high chance (something like 25%) of a massive snow storm either around Chicago or Boston, which also means that the entire area around them including southern Ontario is going to be pretty cold.
Other early winter predictions I’ve seen suggest that western Canada and the prairies are going to be pretty warm this winter, while Ontario and Quebec is going to be hit by a rebounding polar jet stream. The coasts are going to be pretty wet on both sides, but the prairies are going to be very dry and warm, all the way to including most of northern Ontario.
Every source I’ve seen contradicts what these guys say aside from the obvious no brainers like BC’s forecast.
Farmers almanac, the astrology of meterology.