The Bank of Canada today reduced its target for the overnight rate to 4¾%, with the Bank Rate at 5% and the deposit rate at 4¾%. The Bank is continuing its policy of balance sheet normalization.
I don’t think this will affect housing, yet. Not much, anyway. This rate decision has already been widely anticipated and fully priced in to mortgage rates. The language used by the BoC sounds very similar, too, so I don’t think there’s any signal to the market that will change expectations significantly.
People on variable-rate mortgages will get a bit of relief, I suppose. But that won’t move the needle much on housing prices.
Although you’re correct, all three levels of government have basically outsourced housing policy to developers, and are relying on the BoC’s overnight rate to control affordability.
The original comment is right: all three levels of government are primarily looking out for wealthy Canadians who are invested in real estate.
With these changes, the housing market probably will go “brrrrrrrrrr.”
I think people can read through these bio’s of the BoC board and understand regardless of whom put these people in power their income and asset composition is quite different from the average Canadian.
The Board is composed of the Governor, the Senior Deputy Governor and 12 independent directors appointed to three-year renewable terms by the Governor in Council (the Cabinet). The Deputy Minister of Finance is an ex officio non-voting member of the Board.
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When Trudeau said he would keep housing prices high I wondered what his levers were.
Aside from lowering prime rates it would be:
Real estate about to go brrrrrrr. The largely landlord-represented government again looks for its own interests first.
I don’t think this will affect housing, yet. Not much, anyway. This rate decision has already been widely anticipated and fully priced in to mortgage rates. The language used by the BoC sounds very similar, too, so I don’t think there’s any signal to the market that will change expectations significantly.
People on variable-rate mortgages will get a bit of relief, I suppose. But that won’t move the needle much on housing prices.
Fully baked in? Bond market dropped quite a bit this week, and .1 just today:
The Bank of Canada is independent of parliament (presumably what you mean by “government”).
The BoC is enforcing goals set with the federal government.
Although you’re correct, all three levels of government have basically outsourced housing policy to developers, and are relying on the BoC’s overnight rate to control affordability.
The original comment is right: all three levels of government are primarily looking out for wealthy Canadians who are invested in real estate.
With these changes, the housing market probably will go “brrrrrrrrrr.”
I think people can read through these bio’s of the BoC board and understand regardless of whom put these people in power their income and asset composition is quite different from the average Canadian.
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/about/board-of-directors/
Cabinet of Canada
The dream team with pictures is anyone is into that type of thing: https://www.pm.gc.ca/en/cabinet
Maybe now I can splurge and buy butter.
Seems like stagflation is a very real concern at this point.
FED talking about raising rates, BoC cutting them - what could go wrong?