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Cake day: Jul 02, 2023

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Sounds like you’ve already answered your own question.

It might die. If it does, it’s not a super big deal. You have backups. You don’t like creating unnecessary e-waste.

As gets have said, crystal disk info can help detect any existing problems, but it can’t predict the future if something happens suddenly. So it can be a good indicator, but don’t assume it’s 100%.