Formerly u/CanadaPlus101 on Reddit.

  • 10 Posts
  • 1.63K Comments
Joined 2Y ago
cake
Cake day: Jun 12, 2023

help-circle
rss

Carve-outs of the rules have way more practical implications than just making the EU name slightly ironic, though. Asking for both just seems rude to me, but I could be wrong.


The real thing I’d dread is that Euros are heavy as fuck. You have too much change in like half or less the time it takes here.


IIRC you have to factor in the explosive lenses and various neutron reflectors as well, and to get all the way to the theoretical minimum you basically need literal tons of that other stuff. Backpack/wheeled luggage/shell weight is what’s public, and seems about like about as good as you can get in practice.

There’s exotic choices of fission fuel with a smaller critical mass, but they’re also aggressively radioactive and tend to really really difficult to produce, to the point of impracticality.

Honestly briefcaseness wasn’t the main problem with OP, but it was worth commenting on.


I mean, we’re already talking about a NATO 2.0, aren’t we?

Of course, that’s their decision to ultimately make.


It already probably would have been for all the other nefarious shit they do, except they’ve had a sympathetic fashy government somewhere else in the EU to block it. It was Poland, now it’s IIRC Slovakia.


I mean, you get to put whatever on the reverse of the coins.


They were a founding member and got a special carve-out.


Yes, it is. You can delay it indefinitely, though, and Romania is still on the leu. Other members have blocked them from making the switch, even.


Ah shit, you’re right about Iceland. I thought it was for some reason.

Greenland like usual has no data (because WTF is it really? Independent? A territory?). Denmark definitely is, though, and Greenlanders presently get the full benefits of that.


You have to be “substantially European”, which includes Cyprus, which is fully in Asia and half Turkish. Also, Greenland and to a degree Iceland aren’t geographically European.


But Cyprus is already in. And really, how sure are we that was the real main reason?

Failing that, we’ll just have to slum it with Norway and Switzerland.


The Europeans have been training them too, and they’re also competent. If you’re suggesting that’s a replacement for actually spending anything, the “paid in gumption” idea was lame when we were selling it to the US and is definitely lame when we’re selling it to people who might have to rescue us from the US.

The article suggests oil and space for European air training exercises in our hinterland. Critical minerals have been brought up before. I just don’t know if that will be enough, given that they’re still thinking to some degree that they can avoid the whole situation on our continent.


Permean or other oil basins would kill little while destroying US energy sector.

That’s way too big for a single nuke. It’s a geological layer. Even multiples wouldn’t do it. Maybe we could just sink the country while we’re at it. /s

The US is a bank masquerading as a country. Bond vigilantes are real, and crediblity for more debt weak.

Banks don’t have an army or the ability to tax you. Also, the US is still way behind Japan, for example.


Honestly just raw manpower seems like something we could offer them. We can’t send that many experienced soldiers equipped for battle, but I feel like a giant recruitment drive for devoted Ukraine peacekeepers could be sold if it came explicitly in exchange for security guarantees.

Before somebody says it, I’ll absolutely go first, to whatever degree they’ll take me. I really don’t want to be part of America and we don’t have a strong negotiating position, like the article points out.

Edit: Or even simpler, funding for their troops. We still have a healthy debt load and now’s the time to dip into it.


I’ve even tried local cobblers here in Korea with no success.

Okay, how did that go, lol? Did they tell you to go back up the beanstalk?

It’s hard enough finding shoes in size 14 here. I can only imagine looking for 16EEE (is that like double-wide?) in Asia.


You could put a Davy Crockett in conspicuously beefy wheeled luggage, it’s true. Or a backpack worn by a muscly special forces dude, like in the picture. I feel like people picture a skinny briefcase when you say “suitcase nuke”, though.

Access from nation states cooperating with your nation state “can be made easy”. US has made everyone angry, and won’t know who hit them. A single nuclear detonation in US would collapse its government, currency and economy due to already being up against sustainable debt limit.

Who are we thinking of, North Korea? Russia likes the new guy in America, and China likes stability. India and Pakistan have no dog in this fight, and everyone else was a steadfast ally just months ago.

First off, that’s the sort of thing that will take more than a lunch to arrange. Second, the level or recklessness here is crazy, and killing thousands of civilians with a first strike would make us the bad guy. Third, debt load won’t mean very much if they have the kind of political will that would produce.

I guess I should point out we’d have no trouble making our own nuke if we really needed it, too. There’s hundreds of tons of plutonium mixed in the spent fuel we have in storage right now, and we have lots of people who can design the thing.



Yes, but unfortunately we have a system that only produces minorities when you’re very close to the other guy getting a majority.


They weren’t real and still aren’t. You can make a nuke small enough to fit in, say, a shell (and the US did), but the minimum critical mass is still way too heavy to carry around. That’s just physics. Uranium and plutonium are both significantly denser than lead.

It’s kind of wild you think any nuclear weapon would be “easy to access”.



I remember we made a petition to the Canadian government about getting on the fediverse, and it got enough signatures. The response made me think they couldn’t even figure out what that meant.


Sure. But if there’s not even the illusion the brainrot is real life, maybe they’ll give it a try.

(And it’s not just America. You don’t have to be that hard on yourselves, dumb people are everywhere)


Ah yes, this highly produced YouTube video narrated by “Niel” who sounds a bit computer generated, with a white X cup in the thumbnail. This is definitely a good look at an everyday Chinese factory. /s

Hopefully you’re getting paid to post it.


Yeah, just based on the summery here, I’m not really upset about this. An engagement-maximising brainrot feed was never a great way to understand important issues in the real world.

If you just want to slip into TikTok for a couple hours I see little problem with all-AI content, if you want news go here or directly to a reputable news agency, and if you want to learn something new start with Wikipedia and then branch out once you know what you’re looking for.


I’m guessing Xiaomi had a hand in producing it, right? Again, they’re leaders in saying they’re leaders. Talk to industry people or just anyone who’s spent serious time in China and you get a very different story from the propaganda.


Quite possible. The Charger is an old established brand as an ICE vehicle.

I see I actually missed the Chevrolet BrightDrop.


China’s strength is in processes involving a balance of mature, last generation technology and cheap manual labour at large scales. That actually does describe EV manufacturing, and the Chinese government has really favoured that sector as well with things like subsidies.

When it comes to cutting edge stuff like automation and robotics, the West is still king, while heavily manual labour has shifted to younger emerging economies like Bangladesh.


Lol, when I see a paper out of a Chinese university I’ve come to instinctively expect poor quality or even obvious fraud. They’re leaders in saying they’re leaders.

Meanwhile, guess who’s actually building the machine tools and factory robots that people are buying? Germany and Japan are prominent. Silicon valley has it’s own niches. Ontario is apparently up-and-coming.


Well, there’s also first job, moving out to a rental and getting into a serious career (the hustling from job to job is a killer for anyone without nepotism on their side). You’re right that there’s cultural changes in the picture too, though.

Because they seem to be earlier to kids than millennials were, based on what I’ve heard,

It looks like average age of a new mother has gone up continuously at least in the US, actually. Teen moms are a big part of it, though, which brings up the the mean vs. median thing again.

Even if the data on housing is correct, are the non-homeowners closer or further from owning? The typical real wage has gone down, and I see little evidence that’s concentrated towards older individuals like it would have to be to not hit gen Z. Anecdotally, in my family the last generation had an easier time. It’s almost painful adjusting their old starting wages for inflation.


That’s also true. It wasn’t his idea, it’s just something he’s gone along with, even.


It looks like it’s just the Dodge Charger Daytona that’s pure electric at the moment. There’s several plug-in hybrids, though, and I assume a lot of Canadian parts in every “legacy” manufacturer American or Mexican EV. (Also the Arrow concept car, but that doesn’t really count)


Not doing things he’s accidentally right about would be an overcorrection.


It would almost certainly end up costing as much as a domestic EV already does. Cheap Chinese labour and government subsidies are what makes them so competitive.


I mean, it’s kind of a non-sequitur here, on the subject of Chinese EVs.



So by agent, they mean the same AI but they’re doing all the things you shouldn’t with it? Great…


Oooh, that feels like it could genuinely grate on them. Talk about straight, artificial-looking lines.


Congratulations on being part of the minority who keeps track of things like that. A lot of people just kind of go by their gut on every individual purchase.

As usual in politics and generally anything public facing, it’s not that people are literally incapable of remembering and understanding, as much as just not interested enough to do so.


That can have pitfalls itself, can’t it? If I knew someone who was going down that path I’d worry about it feeling like I’m policing them rather than valuing and supporting them.


Hey, he’s not a complete pushover, he put out a tweet (or an X?) confirming he’s Canadian. He also changed “America” to “Canada” when he started reusing Trump’s exact slogan. /s


It's a few months old, but in light of recent events I think it still checks out. Make sure to watch the walkaround!
fedilink

So how is not buying American going for you?
Last trip to the grocery store I couldn't find any non-US salad kits, and Silk NextMilk is made down there now, because I guess our plants were the listeria ones. Chip dip was surprisingly hard to find too, although I did it. I'm very pleased with how many vegetables actually come from Mexico (definitely via the US though), and there's even a few things you can get from greenhouses, so that situation is less dire than I'd expected.
fedilink

Is it better to start from scratch rather than refactoring?
Refactoring gets really bad reviews, but from where I'm sitting as a hobby programmer in relative ignorance it seems like it *should* be easier, because you could potentially reuse a lot of code. Can someone break it down for me? I'm thinking of a situation where the code is ugly but still legible here. I completely understand that *actual reverse engineering* is harder than coding on a blank slate.
fedilink

Preventing child sex abuse must involve treating pedophiles, even past offenders, say experts - CBC Radio
This is one of those takes that's so controversial I'm afraid to post it, which is exactly why I have to. I neither endorse nor disavow this, and no, I'm not in the picture.
fedilink

This American had Regina on his bucket list for 30 years. He finally made the trip
I considered posting this elsewhere, but only Canadians are really going to get why it's funny. Regina being totally self aware about it's (lack of) reputation made it for me.
fedilink

What’s the chance the “traitor MPs” the news is going on about are literally just Han Dong?
We have no idea how many there are, and we already know about one, right? It seems like the simplest possibility.
fedilink

A worried Washington prods Israel to define its military objectives - CBC
An interesting look at how America thinks about the conflict when cameras aren't pointing at them. TL;DR they see themselves 20 years ago, and are trying to figure out how to convey all the lessons that experience taught them, including "branches" and "sequels", which is jargon I haven't heard mentioned before. Israel is not terribly receptive. Aaand of course, Tom Cotton is at the end basically describing a genocide, which he would support.
fedilink


cross-posted from: https://lemmy.sdf.org/post/2617125 > A written out transcript on Scott Aaronson's blog: https://scottaaronson.blog/?p=7431 > > ------------------------- > > ::: spoiler My takes: > > > ELIEZER: What strategy can a like 70 IQ honest person come up with and invent themselves by which they will outwit and defeat a 130 IQ sociopath? > > Physically attack them. That might seem like a non-sequitur, but what I'm getting at is that Yudowski seems to underestimate how powerful and unpredictable meatspace can be over the short-to-medium term. I really don't think you could conquer the world over wifi either, unless maybe you can break encryption. > > > SCOTT: Look, I can imagine a world where we only got one try, and if we failed, then it destroys all life on Earth. And so, let me agree to the conditional statement that if we are in that world, then I think that we’re screwed. > > Also agreed, with the caveat that there's wide differences between failure scenarios, although we're probably getting a random one at this rate. > > > ELIEZER: I mean, it’s not presently ruled out that you have some like, relatively smart in some ways, dumb in some other ways, or at least not smarter than human in other ways, AI that makes an early shot at taking over the world, maybe because it expects future AIs to not share its goals and not cooperate with it, and it fails. And the appropriate lesson to learn there is to, like, shut the whole thing down. And, I’d be like, “Yeah, sure, like wouldn’t it be good to live in that world?” > > > And the way you live in that world is that when you get that warning sign, you shut it all down. > > I suspect little but reversible incidents are going to happen more and more, if we keep being careful and talking about risks the way we have been. I honestly have no clue where things go from there, but I imagine the tenor and consistency of response will be pandemic-ish. > > > GARY: I’m not real thrilled with that. I mean, I don’t think we want to leave what their objective functions are, what their desires are to them, working them out with no consultation from us, with no human in the loop, right? > > Gary has a far better impression of human leadership than me. Like, we're not on track for a benevolent AI if such a thing makes sense (see his next paragraph), but if we had that it would blow human governments out of the water. > > > ELIEZER: Part of the reason why I’m worried about the focus on short-term problems is that I suspect that the short-term problems might very well be solvable, and we will be left with the long-term problems after that. Like, it wouldn’t surprise me very much if, in 2025, there are large language models that just don’t make stuff up anymore. > > > GARY: It would surprise me. > > Hey, so there's a prediction to watch! > > > SCOTT: We just need to figure out how to delay the apocalypse by at least one year per year of research invested. > > That's a good way of looking at it. Maybe that will be part of whatever the response to smaller incidents is. > > > GARY: Yeah, I mean, I think we should stop spending all this time on LLMs. I don’t think the answer to alignment is going to come from through LLMs. I really don’t. I think they’re too much of a black box. You can’t put explicit, symbolic constraints in the way that you need to. I think they’re actually, with respect to alignment, a blind alley. I think with respect to writing code, they’re a great tool. But with alignment, I don’t think the answer is there. > > Yes, agreed. I don't think we can un-invent them at this point, though. > > > ELIEZER: I was going to name the smaller problem. The problem was having an agent that could switch between two utility functions depending on a button, or a switch, or a bit of information, or something. Such that it wouldn’t try to make you press the button; it wouldn’t try to make you avoid pressing the button. And if it built a copy of itself, it would want to build a dependency on the switch into the copy. > > > So, that’s an example of a very basic problem in alignment theory that is still open. > > Neat. I suspect it's impossible with a reasonable cost function, if the thing actually sees all the way ahead. > > > So, before GPT-4 was released, [the Alignment Research Center] did a bunch of evaluations of, you know, could GPT-4 make copies of itself? Could it figure out how to deceive people? Could it figure out how to make money? Open up its own bank account? > > > ELIEZER: Could it hire a TaskRabbit? > > > SCOTT: Yes. So, the most notable success that they had was that it could figure out how to hire a TaskRabbit to help it pass a CAPTCHA. And when the person asked, ‘Well, why do you need me to help you with this?’– > > > ELIEZER: When the person asked, ‘Are you a robot, LOL?’ > > > SCOTT: Well, yes, it said, ‘No, I am visually impaired.’ > > I wonder who got the next-gen AI cold call, haha! > :::
fedilink

Here’s why people are being so mean about the Titan going down - CBC
I have to say I'm not sure what they were hoping for, the discourse hasn't felt overly mean by internet standards, but maybe that's just my bubble. I'm sorry they died, but now that we know all the details it's a bit like the guy that decided to hike up a lava field last year. Also, > People's fascination with the wealthy is fuelled by both curiosity and envy. And when rich people find themselves in trouble, it makes the rest of us feel better, Pamela Rutledge, director of the California-based Media Psychology Research Center, wrote in a piece about social media and the submersible for Psychology Today. I feel like "outrage" should be in there somewhere. It makes me mad that people can be that dumb with a quarter of a million dollars while I'm just glad to have a safe roof over my head, and other people (like the mentioned boat migrants) aren't even that lucky. Alright, back off my soap box.
fedilink